29 Dec Weekly Elliott Wave Forecasts and Trading Ideas Report
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Weekly Stock Market and Trading Strategies Report Week of December 29th
- 2020 Themes and Ideas
- Biotech and GOLD Chart updates and notes
- SP 500 Short and Long Term forecast updates
- Swing Trade ideas list… usually several winners each week
Recent results and notes: Stocks and ETF Trading Results
Took 1/2 position gains of 12% on CDLX and riding several positions for remainder 1/2 after taking profits on the front half of those trades at 8% or so. Looking to add some new swing positions this week. We have closed 12 of our last 13 trades for profits.
ETF Service: We closed out TNA for 7.5% final gains on Friday as well as NUGT ETF for 17.5% 5 day gains on Friday this past week. We have hit 8 of 9 trades for profits of 8-17% since early November.
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Short Term and Long Term Elliott Wave Views for the SP 500 Index
Short Term: In the 3230-3270 zone I have been projecting for a top of wave 5 of 3 of 5 of Int 3… wave 4 correction likely soon. See chart.
Long Term: (Wave 3 of Intermediate 3 of Major 3). The long term Primary Wave 5 up from Feb 2016 lows continues, we are in Major Wave 3 up from the 2345 lows of Major 2 in Dec 2018. We continue up in Intermediate Wave 3 of Major Wave 3 of Primary 5, this could extend to 3250-3315 area eventually before completed… then Wave 4 of Intermediate 3 likely, guessing Jan/February time frame possible.
Long Term View: Int 3 of Major 3 underway to 3250-3300 area
Right on target, nearing 3250 target which is the low end of this current wave pattern. We will have a larger degree wave 4 coming up soon likely Jan/Feb 2020 to correct this 430 plus point advance. Last week I said to watch 3250 area…3270-3300 possible
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Short Term View: Wave 5 of 3 continues higher
Wave 5 continues of 3 of 5… Looking at 3250 area loosely as possible per the Dec 23 forecast, could wiggle a bit higher but getting close to top, followed by a Wave 4 correction to correct this entire 5 wave advance.
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Market Notes and Indicator Charts:
2020 Ideas from Dave Banister, Chief Strategist:
- Inflation comes back in a big way
- Bitcoin could recapture investor attention
- GOLD continues to break to the upside
- Commodities continue to rally
- Energy stocks a strong contrarian play
- Lithium stocks blast off (LTHM one of my favorites)
- Micro Cap stocks lead all sectors/funds for 2020 in performance after 2019 bear cycle lows
- Biotech continues to lead after correction in early 2020, M and A activity continues
- China stocks catch fire for investors as risk on takes over
- SP 500 does work higher for final leg of Primary 5, but muted performance relative to 2019 which came off Dec 24 2018 Bear Cycle Lows
- XBI could stretch a bit higher, but close to interim top (See Chart)
- GOLD Chart update below, breaks out after 13 week base pattern, leads to 17% NUGT Gain for us
- CNN Greed at nosebleed levels
XBI ETF (Biotech) Leading, but soon could correct
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GOLD breaking out. We closed a 17% gain last week in the 3x ETF service on Friday
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3x ETF NUGT trade on Stocktwits Service. 17% Gain! Read up at The3xETFTrader.com and join!
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Weekly ideas and tips on Swing Trading Success: Profit Taking Always
No matter how giddy you may feel during a wave 3 powerful move up in the markets, make sure to take some gains on the way up. We always sell 1/2 of any position when up 8% and hold 1/2 with adjusted stops as the stock or ETF moves in our favor. Following disciplined selling programs keeps you level headed in all environments.
Swing Trade Candidates: A list of ideas to consider
This week as usual we have an updated list of some ideas for the intermediate window. We issue official alerts to SRP members via Text and Email and Post and they may or may not come off this list.
Updated 12/29/19 6 new names at top of list, several repeated as well
PCTY- CHART LINK
6 week base, cloud based provider of payroll and human resource functions
CPRT- CHART LINK
6 week tight base near highs. Salvaged Vehicle auction provider as well as Auto Parts consolidator
PFSI- CHART LINK
6 week base near highs. Services and produces residential mortgages
ZTO- CHART LINK
Ascending base out of 3.5 month consolidation. China stocks starting to move. Near 52 week highs. Provides express delivery services in China
PLNT- CHART LINK
5 Week base with chance to re-attack 52 week highs for Planet Fitness
LX- CHART LINK
Fintech chinese company providing loans to higher educated customers. 2 weeks tight base, close to multi-month breakout
EVER- CHART LINK
3rd week in row on list, 8 week base near highs. Online market place for insurance products.NMIH- CHART LINK
8 weeks tight base near highs for this Private Mortgage Insurance provider. 2nd week in row on list
BYD- CHART LINK
6 week base near 52 week highs, gaming, casino etc business. 2nd week in a row on the list.
CDLX- CHART LINK
An SRP alert two weeks ago near 58, now in a 6 week tight base near highs. Develops a purchase intelligence platform for for marketers of debit cards etc. We took 12% gains on 1/2 at SRP near 65, but still looks strong
DOCU- CHART LINK
4 week base near highs. Provides E Signatures solutions for contracts etc. (Docusign) 3rd week in row on list
STNE- CHART LINK
6 week corrective base within an overall 14 week base near highs. Pulled back this past week, 3rd week in a row on list. We played this a few weeks back at SRP for nice gains. FINTECH solutions in Brazil, a Warren Buffett top holding too.
RDFN- CHART LINK
A current SRP position, we took 1/2 gains two weeks ago at 8% or so. Looks ready to spike higher though. 4th week in a row on the list. Nice base pattern near recent multi moth highs.
DT- CHART LINK
6 week POST IPO Corrective pattern. 3rd week in a row on list, still looks good. Develops software intelligence platform to allow customers to modernize and automate IT operations.
SNBR- CHART LINK
11 weeks tight base not far from 52 week highs. Reasonable PE ratio. 579 Retail stores offering sleep number bedding. 6th week in row on the list.
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