02 Mar Weekly Stock Market Forecast and Swing Trading Ideas Report
TheMarketAnalysts.Com
Weekly Stock Market Forecasts, Charts, and Swing Trading Ideas List and Strategies Report
Week of March 3rd 2025
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General Market Summary plus Swing Trade Ideas List:
Updated David Banister Market and Elliott Wave Views on SP 500 and more plus the weekly swing trade ideas list is at bottom of this report
Markets, Charts and more:
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NASDAQ 100, BITCOIN, SP 500, MARKETS IN GENERAL BOTTOMING
My first weekly forecast and trade ideas report in almost 6 months.
With the market recently in a consolidation near the highs, then followed by a pretty quick downdraft, it’s a good time to update my thoughts.
I think we are still in a Bull Market cycle based on my behavioral pattern analysis of the charts on the SP 500 and QQQ ETF.
Recently, we had 9-10 week cycle with a re-test of the highs in both SP 500 and NASDAQ 100 (QQQ) and then strong pullbacks. These pullbacks looks like C waves of an overall larger A B C correction. The B wave rallied back to the highs and the C wave is going back to test the January 2025 lows this past week. This is called an ABC Flat pattern, common for a Wave 2 correction for example
To wit, the pullback and last weeks bottom in the QQQ ETF (See Chart) is a perfect Fibonacci 38% retracement of the larger August 2024 to December 2025 rally from 422 to 538 highs.
In addition, viewing the CNN Fear Gauge readings (See Chart) we have extreme fear readings as of February 28th. The put to call ratio is high, the drop to the 125 day MA line for SP 500 was hit and tested, and my own views of the NASDAQ showed only 30% of the listed stocks above their 50 day MA line late last week (See Charts).
The SP 500/ES Futures also pulled back hard and nearly hit the Jan 2025 lows as well this past week before bouncing.
Tentatively I call this a bottom and we may see a nice rally ahead. The market hates uncertainty, the new Administration is causing a lot of that, adding to the volatility. However, better days MAY be ahead as long as we hold this past weeks lows.
We want to see last weeks lows hold for sure. Bitcoin also bouncing from 78,200 lows to 94,000 in just a few days here. I also posted notes on BITCOIN to my members about a bottom at 84,000 and or 72-78,000 just a few days ago. We hit 78,200 and have rallied 16,000 on Bitcoin since Friday lows. President Trump reaffirmed his desire for a U.S. crypt reserve on Sunday, this time naming Bitcoin, Ethereum and several other digital assets for inclusion. Bitcoin jumped well above $90,000, while hard-hit peers saw even bigger gains.
Quite a few high growth speculative names washed out late last week and had big reversals on Friday!
A series of charts:
QQQ ABC Flat, CNN Extreme Reading, SP 500, and Nasdaq % stocks above 50 day MA, Bitcoin
Bitcoin monthly bullish
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Swing Trade ideas list is updated at the bottom of this report reflecting current market conditions and relative leaders based on my review of fundamentals and chart patterns both.
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- List is updated every Sunday or Monday, names removed if they broke out to the upside strongly and or broke down.
- New names added, many names repeated if still in a bullish pattern.
- The right stocks in the right sectors at the right time!
- A lot of stocks will pull back harshly right before a big breakout reversal, so be advised
3/2/25- Updated Swing Trade Ideas List
General themes: China Growth stocks, Healthcare Technology, Defense, Gold exploration
CWAN – 2 weeks tight base pattern as right side of chart pattern firms up following correction. Provides SaaS solutions for investment data aggregation, accounting, analytics, and reporting services.
KRMN – Post IPO base, could push higher as defense spending in focus in US. Design, test, manufacture mission-critical systems for existing & emerging missile & defense, space programs.
TVTX – 6 week base with nice correction off highs. Develops therapies to treat rare disorders like nephrology,
hepatology, and metabolism.
GRND – 10 week flat base near highs, dating app for LGBTQ+ Communities. Offers an online dating app that brings the LGBTQ+ community to connect with each other and the world.
GH 5 week corrective pullback pattern appears bullish. Provides non-invasive cancer diagnostics and a comprehensive
genomic and liquid biopsy. Support near $40
Prior Names off the 2/12/25 List still valid:
YMM – 12 week base near highs. Chinese provider of a software platform for logistics infrastructure, and
freight-truck matching services.
QFIN – Better entry at 39-40 is what I wrote two weeks ago, now 39-40… Chinese company’s data-driven tech platform helps financial institutions target products to consumers
GRAL – Went from 32 to 64 off this list quickly ,but now maybe back in buy ranges. 35-40. Healthcare company, focuses on developing technologies for early cancer detection.
HALO – Has been on list for 6 weeks, still looks good. Develops recombinant human enzymes and novel oncology therapies that target the tumor microenvironment.
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