25 Sep Weekly Swing Trade Ideas and Market Forecasts Report
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Weekly Stock Market Forecasts, Charts, and Swing Trading Ideas List and Strategies Report
Week of September 26th 2022
“I’ve mentioned it before, but it’s worth mentioning again. I’ve been a subscriber in three of Dave’s services – SRP, TPS and 3xETF for about a year now. Because I feel so highly in regards to Dave’s services and the performance I’ve experienced; my daughter, my brother and another friend have become subscribers to at least one of his services. I’m working on a couple other people as well😉 Dave thanks so much for all you do!” @JTD26 on Stocktwits
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General Market Summary plus Swing Trade Ideas List:
Updated Banister Market and Elliott Wave Views on SP 500 and more and weekly swing trade updated ideas list is at bottom of this report
Markets and more: 2 weeks makes a big difference! Waiting for a few more possible bottom confirmations, going slower with stock alerts and using 3x Bear ETF’s of late.
Two weeks ago we were up trending over 4050 on SP 500 and then we got the rug pulled with FOMC related comments on raising rates. This started an abrupt downturn and when we crossed below 4050 that spelled doom for the rally from June lows which actually peaked at 4325 in August
NYSE (n) – 5 New Highs, 872 Lows
NASDAQ – 18 New Highs, 801 Lows
AMEX (a) – 0 New Highs, 81 Lows
This past week though having looked at the patterns, as we were holding up a bit and going sideways in a range I projected another leg down. We got positioned in YANG which shorts the China 50 FTSE index at 300% and also TZA which shorts the Small Caps at 300%. Both played out for huge moves to the upside for 3x ETF members (Hosted on Stocktwits.com) which helped buffer the downturn in stocks overall.
We closed out the TZA late in the week and it did in fact hit my 46 projection from 38 at one point hitting 47. We remain 1/2 long YANG still for now betting against China stocks near term.
With that all said, we also are taking a swing trading stab at SOXL looking for a bounce in the Semiconductor stocks with a 3x Bull position taken on Friday at about 9.75 average. We will set an appropriate stop there but Chip stocks tested June lows and are near or below the 200 week EMA line, so if they are going to bounce or rally it needs to be soon.
Market Moving Behavioral Items:
Only 14% of NASDAQ stocks are above 50 day moving average. This could go a bit lower but the high in August was 74% above the 50 day… so stocks getting pretty washed out. Put to Call ratios running very high. SP 500 at a double bottom testing June lows and more.
In the meantime, Mercury went Retrograde on September 9th and this lasts until October 2nd. Often this window brings with it miscommunications, misinterpretations, and lots of extra volatility that is hard to project in advance both on the upside and downside.
The other issue near term is the September and October windows are notoriously volatile and can often mark bottoms in a bear cycle as well. One of the reasons is the 3rd quarter ends in September and managers are window dressing their holdings. If they start to see markets falling hard they move even faster to sell positions. In October we get the Mutual Fund fiscal year end and there is often tax related harvesting or selling if you will… adding to volatility.
Near term then obviously the June lows test was upon us this past week and we will have to see if markets can bounce.
One soup recipe item for sentiment is the AAII survey which as of late last week was showing historically high readings of bearish sentiment with investors at 61% Bears vs 17% Bulls. See the graph below
SP 500 double bottom, we will see if it holds…
Put bets running high, often near pivot lows
Consider joining my 3x ETF Swing Trading room on Stocktwits, gives you very nice exposure to sector swings based on human behavioral patterns. Removes single stock risk and gives you a better upside beta and lower risk with your overall trading plans (SRP, 3x ETF, Futures etc)
This past week up 17% in 2 days on YANG and up 11-12% in 2 days on TZA positions while market tanked! Just $40 a month and worth it to add to your stock trading
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Tipping Point Stocks- Wealth building looking for multi-baggers before the crowd comes in, 9 stocks have more than doubled since June 2020 after Covid Bottom. Bear cycle likely bottoming here soon in 2022 like 2016, 2018, 2020 bottoms (Every 2 years)
TPS : Just issued a new Biotech report trading near cash per share, insider buying, and near the Series D round Pre IPO pricing, 60% below the 2021 IPO price, and 1/7 the value targeted by two top analysts for share price. In discussions with big pharma on non dilutive funding and partnerships.
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Read up at Tippingpointstocks.com
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Swing Trade Ideas with a combination of strong fundamentals and attractive behavioral pattern charts combined. List is updated every Sunday, names removed if they broke out to the upside strongly and or broke down. New names added, many names repeated if still in a bullish pattern. A lot of stocks will pull back harshly right before a big breakout reversal, so be advised
SWING TRADING 101– Click to review my 10 plus keys to profitable and consistent swing trading I’ve used since 2009
9/24/22: Updated list for the near term and intermediate window ahead based on sectors, individual stock fundamental strength, and Banister Behavioral Patterns lining up for strong probable upside.
CCRN- Pulled back late in week but has been a relative leader. We made nice gains at SRP on this one recently but worth watching if it can hold 26.30 area on a closing basis. Insider buying at 25 recently. PE around 5. Provides staffing/outsourcing services, including staffing of travel/per diem nurses/temporary physicians.
SRPT- 7 week flat base near highs, needs to hold 104. Develops RNA-based therapeutics using proprietary antisense
technology to treat genetic, infectious
CALM one of few stocks breaking to highs. Produces shell eggs that are distributed in the southwest,
southeast, Midwest, and mid-Atlantic region.
PDD- 4 week pullback but needs to hold 58/59 area. Chinese provider of third-party mobile e-commerce platform for
buyers with merchandise shopping experiences.
WSC- 7 week base near highs trying to hold 10 week EMA line. Through a network of more than 280 branch
locations and drop points WillScot Mini Mobile specializes in flexible mobileoffice, portable storage and workspace productivity solutions. The company has delivered average earnings gains of 143% over the last three quarters,
including the 300% spike reported in August.
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The3xETFtrader.com– Swing trading Bull or Bear 3x ETF securities only. Hosted on Stocktwits.com for just $40 per month. A great way to trade bull and bear reversals using my behavioral pattern analysis with a twist! Launched in late September 2019 and already establishing a strong track record of 70% plus profitable trades!
StockReversalsPremium.com– Stock Swing Trading with SMS text, Email, and Post on each alert, morning pre market reports daily on the SP 500 forecasts, position updates, and strategy notes. 70% success rate in nearly 8 years of advisory services! Track Record of 2019-2022 trades online
Tippingpointstocks.com– Growth Stocks and advice with 1x-5x plus upside with our proprietary research! 9 stocks have doubled or more since June 2020! Fresh ideas and research every month as the portfolio rotates with regular updates every week on positions and ongoing advice. Bear cycle bottoms in 2018, 2020, and likely 2022 so good time to get involved now in 2022 as we likely trough out in the market.
E-Mini Future Trading Service ESALERTS.COM $50 a month on Stocktwits.com and AUTO- TRADE option also available with my partner firm where we enter the trades for you!!
SP 500 Futures Trading Advisory service. Hosted on Stocktwits.com and also Auto-Trade option outside of Stocktwits… Great morning SP 500 Futures trading guidance and alerts! We keep you on the right side of the market direction and trades. Tax Favorable treatment, simple reporting to IRS, eligible for IRA and Regular Accounts both!
This service focuses on the SP 500 using my Wave based market behavioral models and then translates that to Futures Trading advice and alerts. Short term and long term views…morning updates, trades and more.
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