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Be cautious with the market and your investments at this time:

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SRP Thursday Pre Market Report and Strategy Updates 8/27/15

8/27: Thursday… rebound continues?
   
The market as we said in the forecast section is recovering.  Typical gap fills above around 1960, and 2030.  Many investors do not realize that markets fall hard when liquidity dries up, and if you couple that with an August seasonally weak period you can cause a downdraft.
Much of the liquidity issue is centered around Oil and its crash.  The drop in Oil prices has worldwide effects on the Petrodollar economy, with outflows instead of inflows for US dollars in trade. In addition, this puts pressure on the debt of the oil companies, the banks that lent the money, and so forth.  Eventually this catches up with the stock market and you get a liquidity trap like we just saw.
So how do we get out of this mess?  You need to see an Oil rally, which may be starting here short term.  You have seen China rush to restore liquidity by injecting cash into their banking system and now last night buying stocks in their markets.  The question is if that is sustainable or just a bump up.
So our concerns center around the 7 year cycle, 1987, 1994, 2001, 2008, and now 2015 for market liquidity events.  The question is did we complete the 2015 crash cycle at the 1867 lows this week or is there more to come?
Nobody has all the answers, but we review multiple metrics and indicators and we remain cautious but for now keeping our mind open to a bottom in place.  We will let the markets help us ferret out the rest, but again… we warn our subscribers that risks remain to the stock market in the coming few months and we will do our best to help you navigate and profit from either direction.
This rally may not get much past this Friday or Monday morning short term… we will be on top of it.
You and your team deserve all the success you are getting! You are making a big difference in our lives, helping us not get too shaken up when the rest of the market is panicking around us.  All the best!
Michael Hsu- SRP Member 3/13/15

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